CA-TPU
Trade policy uncertainty
170.5Monthly index
- Monthly change
- +50.1 points
- 3-month average
- 130.9
Xinjiang University · Research on Central Asian trade
Tracking Central Asia’s
trade policy and cooperation
Compare uncertainty and cooperation on one chart to see how the two trends evolve and cross.
Cooperation & uncertainty
Index trends & crossings
Both indices · 3-month moving average
Red shows uncertainty; blue shows cooperation. A shared base period and scale make the trends comparable.
Loading index trends…
Improvement signal
Cooperation rises as uncertainty falls, and the blue line crosses above the red line.
Deterioration signal
Uncertainty rises as cooperation falls, and the red line crosses above the blue line.
Crossings are marked only when the indices move in opposite directions. Their positions are interpolated between monthly observations and should be read alongside sustained trends and events.Methodology →
127.6Monthly index
- Monthly change
- +17.6 points
- 3-month average
- 115.6
Base: 2015–2019 mean = 100. The indices measure relative intensity in news texts; each card identifies its observation month.
Reports
Latest reports & analysis
CA-TPU Monthly Report (October 2026)
The CA-TPU index reached 170.53 in October, up 41.55% from September. This report examines the growth and composition of media coverage, product-specific market access, payment compliance and infrastructure financing, and forecasts a lower index in November.
CA-TPU Quarterly Report (Q3 2026)
Quarterly overview CA-TPU averaged 105.76 in the third …
CA-TPU Monthly Report (September 2026)
Monthly overview CA-TPU stood at 120.47 in September 20…
Data & methods
Get the data, understand the methods
Download monthly series and explore the sample and construction rules.
Regional and country indices, reports and replication materials
Browse resources →How the indices are builtNews sample, keyword identification and aggregation
Read the methods →